Will Manchester United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?

Implied probability 6%

Total volume$13k

Liquidity$10k

Resolves1 Jul 2027

How the odds moved · Will Manchester United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?

Price data

Time	Chance of yes
now	6%
3 Nov, 02:08 UTC	6%
3 Nov, 01:02 UTC	6%
3 Nov, 00:40 UTC	6%
3 Nov, 00:26 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 23:01 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 22:24 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 21:19 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 20:16 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 18:34 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 18:19 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 17:56 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 17:11 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 16:34 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 16:12 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 15:56 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 14:49 UTC	5%
2 Nov, 14:11 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 12:49 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 11:50 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 11:29 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 10:28 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 09:11 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 08:57 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 08:08 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 07:54 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 07:25 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 06:35 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 06:07 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 05:39 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 05:24 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 04:47 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 03:42 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 03:21 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 02:58 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 01:46 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 01:24 UTC	6%
2 Nov, 00:55 UTC	6%
1 Nov, 23:50 UTC	6%
1 Nov, 22:39 UTC	6%
1 Nov, 21:56 UTC	6%
1 Nov, 21:12 UTC	6%
1 Nov, 20:29 UTC	6%
1 Nov, 17:35 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 14:45 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 13:46 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 13:24 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 12:41 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 12:09 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 11:48 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 11:19 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 10:21 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 09:15 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 08:39 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 07:45 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 07:04 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 06:36 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 06:22 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 05:04 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 04:50 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 04:15 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 03:47 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 03:19 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 02:50 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 01:31 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 01:17 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 00:56 UTC	7%
1 Nov, 00:21 UTC	7%
31 Oct, 23:31 UTC	7%
31 Oct, 23:17 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 22:57 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 22:21 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 21:17 UTC	9%
31 Oct, 20:28 UTC	9%
31 Oct, 19:02 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 18:27 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 17:57 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 17:06 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 16:43 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 16:15 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 15:44 UTC	8%
31 Oct, 15:22 UTC	7%
31 Oct, 14:53 UTC	7%
31 Oct, 14:16 UTC	6%
30 Oct, 23:48 UTC	3%
30 Oct, 21:53 UTC	3%
30 Oct, 20:37 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 20:29 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 19:13 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 18:44 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 17:56 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 17:20 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 16:25 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 13:58 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 12:52 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 12:24 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 11:38 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 11:24 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 10:50 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 10:20 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 08:41 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 08:22 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 07:28 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 06:42 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 06:21 UTC	6%
30 Oct, 05:35 UTC	3%
30 Oct, 05:21 UTC	3%
30 Oct, 04:01 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 03:47 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 03:02 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 02:55 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 02:16 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 01:55 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 01:28 UTC	4%
30 Oct, 00:56 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 23:33 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 23:04 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 22:17 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 21:55 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 20:38 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 20:24 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 19:57 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 19:29 UTC	5%
29 Oct, 18:06 UTC	5%
29 Oct, 17:26 UTC	5%
29 Oct, 16:57 UTC	5%
29 Oct, 16:07 UTC	5%
29 Oct, 15:53 UTC	5%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC	5%
29 Oct, 14:55 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 14:07 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 12:52 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 12:18 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 11:47 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 11:20 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 10:58 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 10:26 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 09:41 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 09:12 UTC	5%
29 Oct, 07:51 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 07:26 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 06:58 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 04:56 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 04:28 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 03:49 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 02:20 UTC	3%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 01:18 UTC	4%
29 Oct, 00:55 UTC	4%
28 Oct, 23:19 UTC	4%
28 Oct, 22:46 UTC	4%
28 Oct, 22:18 UTC	5%
28 Oct, 19:55 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 18:52 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 17:30 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 16:59 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 16:17 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 15:55 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 15:26 UTC	5%
28 Oct, 14:56 UTC	4%
28 Oct, 13:24 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 11:24 UTC	4%
28 Oct, 10:48 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 10:23 UTC	4%
28 Oct, 09:48 UTC	5%
28 Oct, 09:10 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 08:43 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 08:15 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 07:43 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 07:08 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 06:36 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 06:11 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 05:51 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 05:26 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 04:35 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 04:10 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 03:43 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 03:22 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 02:44 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 02:09 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 01:42 UTC	3%
28 Oct, 01:21 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 00:53 UTC	2%
28 Oct, 00:07 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 23:38 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 23:05 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 22:58 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 21:12 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 20:39 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 20:10 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 19:55 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 19:26 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 18:41 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 17:57 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 17:28 UTC	2%
27 Oct, 16:30 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 15:49 UTC	3%
27 Oct, 14:07 UTC	4%
27 Oct, 13:57 UTC	4%
27 Oct, 10:12 UTC	4%
27 Oct, 05:13 UTC	4%
27 Oct, 03:19 UTC	4%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Manchester United finishes in a relegation position at the end of the 2026-27 season, loses a playoff, or faces an official league decision that removes them from the top flight. The No outcome applies if they remain in the Premier League or if the season is cancelled or postponed past June 30, 2027.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

Yes 6%
No 94%

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Stories on this market

Erik Ten Hag Floats Relegation Possibility for Manchester United sports