Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
Why it moved: −10 points at 10:52 UTC, after News Feed: Smart ring start-up Ōura delays IPO — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 12:33 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 11:21 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 07:33 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 18% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 05:05 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 04:59 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 00:50 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 13:32 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 17% |
| 24 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Sept, 22:12 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 17% |
| 23 Sept, 05:42 UTC | 16% |
| 22 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 16% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 15% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Oura's market capitalization reaches at least $20 billion based on its official closing price on the first day it trades. The No outcome applies if the value stays below that threshold or if the company does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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