Lions vs. Panthers
The market favoured Lions at 65% a day out, but Panthers won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$7.7M
Total volume$172
Liquidity$78k
Resolved5 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Sept, 04:27 UTC | 65% |
What counts
The Lions outcome wins if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 4 at 8:20 PM ET. The Panthers outcome wins if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the injury report in the linked story for a factor that affects the resolution, but only the final game result matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Lions 0%
- Panthers 100%
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