Spread: Rams (-3.5)
The market favoured Eagles at 50% a day out, but Rams won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.2M
Total volume$1.3M
Liquidity$0
Resolved4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 46% |
What counts
The Rams outcome occurs if they win by four or more points. The Eagles outcome applies if the Rams win by three points or fewer, if the game ends in a tie, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the point spread for a requirement that the Rams must simply win, rather than winning by at least four points.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Rams 100%
- Eagles 0%
View this market on Polymarket →