Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$23k
Total volume$131k
Liquidity$0
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 00:19 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 13:35 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 20:54 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 14:44 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 04:37 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 04:23 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 15% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 13% |
| 7 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 01:50 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 05:50 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 18:23 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 17% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the New York Liberty are officially named the 2026 WNBA champion. The No outcome applies if another team wins or if the Liberty are eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline, but the market depends solely on the final championship result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →