Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Why it moved: +5 points at 15:28 UTC, after MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians: Cost of Drugs From Canada Set to Soar for Millions of Americans Due to Federal Rule — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 10 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 18% |
| 10 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 19% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 19% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The Yes outcome applies if Statistics Canada reports that Canada’s 2026 inflation falls between 2.5% and 2.9%. The No outcome applies if the reported figure is outside this range. Readers often mistake the release date of the data for the deadline, but resolution occurs when the official January 18, 2027 report becomes available.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%
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