Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$58k
Liquidity$101k
Resolved1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:52 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 07:02 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 6% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 11:07 UTC | 8% |
What counts
The Yes outcome requires the Chicago Cubs to win the 2026 National League Championship Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Cubs are eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake the linked story about a regular-season game relocation for an indicator of playoff success, but only the final series winner matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →