Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$19k
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$43k
Resolved21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 4% |
| 21 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 4% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the match ends with Bayern Munich scoring exactly three goals and Arsenal scoring exactly two during the 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. The No outcome applies if the final score differs from 3-2, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match, which resolves to 0-0.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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