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Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

Implied probability 87%+6
24-hour volume$259
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves15 Mar 2027
How the odds moved · Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%50%100%87%15 Oct, 07:24 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now87%
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Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the film NAZA appears on the official list of nominees for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome is No if the film does not appear on that list when nominations are announced on January 21, 2027. Readers often mistake the news story about a government probe for the actual nomination announcement.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 87%
  • No 14%

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