Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
The market favoured Tampa Bay Rays at 57% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$605k
Total volume$611k
Liquidity$0
Resolved21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 10% |
| 14 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 35% |
| 14 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 44% |
| 14 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 45% |
| 13 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 45% |
| 12 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 42% |
What counts
The market resolves to Cleveland Guardians if they win the game and Tampa Bay Rays if they win. The outcome depends on the official final statistics recognized by MLB. Readers often mistake the linked story's result for the resolution, but this market is based on the specific October 13 game, not the ALCS series.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians 0%
- Tampa Bay Rays 100%
View this market on Polymarket →