Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
The market favoured Thunder at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$117k
Total volume$117k
Liquidity$101k
Resolved7 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 7 Nov, 03:59 UTC | 100% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 54% |
| 6 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 53% |
| 6 Nov, 13:13 UTC | 49% |
What counts
The Thunder outcome requires the team to win the game by four points or more. The Grizzlies outcome applies if they win, tie, or if the game is canceled or abandoned without an official result by Sunday, November 8, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the deadline for the start of the game rather than the cutoff for abandonment.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Thunder 100%
- Grizzlies 0%
View this market on Polymarket →