Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$98k
Total volume$44.9M
Liquidity$1.4M
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Byron Donalds wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by a consensus of official Republican Party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or if another candidate replaces him before election day.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%