Spread: Texans (-2.5)
The market favoured Colts at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$185k
Total volume$282k
Liquidity$133k
Resolved27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 49% |
| 23 Sept, 02:26 UTC | 53% |
What counts
The Texans outcome resolves if they win by three points or more. The Colts outcome resolves if they win, tie, or if the Texans win by fewer than three points. Readers often mistake the deadline for the game start time rather than when the game officially ends.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Texans 0%
- Colts 100%
View this market on Polymarket →