Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
Implied probability 2%+1
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$416k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 06:40 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 05:52 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 00:34 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 22:05 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
Abstract must officially launch a token that is actively and publicly transferable by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Announcements do not count; the token must be tradable on a public exchange. Readers often mistake shutdown news for a failed launch or assume an announcement satisfies the requirement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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