Alabama vs. Mississippi State
The market favoured Alabama at 67% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.5M
Total volume$615
Liquidity$29k
Resolved3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 83% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 66% |
| 3 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 67% |
What counts
The Alabama outcome wins if Alabama wins the scheduled October 3 game, including any overtime periods. The Mississippi State outcome wins if Mississippi State wins the same game. Readers often mistake a tied score for a split resolution, but the market only splits if the game ends in a tie or is canceled without a make-up.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Alabama 100%
- Mississippi State 0%
View this market on Polymarket →