Will Cleveland Guardians advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
Implied probability 55%+1
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves15 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 52% |
| 9 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 24% |
| 9 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 24% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 00:37 UTC | 36% |
| 9 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 40% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Oct, 20:54 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 16:46 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Oct, 14:44 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 12:06 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 15% |
| 6 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 14% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Cleveland Guardians reach the American League Championship Series in the 2026 MLB Playoffs. It resolves to No if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs are cancelled or postponed past October 31, 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 46%
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