Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?
The market favoured No at 90% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$428k
Total volume$441k
Liquidity$276k
Resolved10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 09:35 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 12% |
| 8 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 11% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Leeds United FC wins the match scheduled for October 10, 2026, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled with no make-up match, or if Leeds does not win, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the final whistle time for the deadline, but the market remains open until the game is completed if it is postponed.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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