Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$42k
Total volume$5.9M
Liquidity$0
Resolved6 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 08:38 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Nov, 01:32 UTC | 100% |
| 2 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 100% |
| 2 Nov, 10:07 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 21:19 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 20:43 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 20:21 UTC | 100% |
| 30 Oct, 21:38 UTC | 100% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 100% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Kimi Antonelli finishes first in the 2026 F1 Drivers' standings, as determined by official Formula 1 results after the final scheduled race of that season. The No outcome applies if he does not finish first or if he becomes mathematically eliminated from contention before the season ends.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →