Dana White's Contender Series: Zaurbek Sabanov vs. Adama Diop (Heavyweight, Main Card)
The market favoured Zaurbek Sabanov at 78% a day out, but Adama Diop won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$60k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$18k
Resolved30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 23:15 UTC | 74% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 75% |
| 28 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 77% |
What counts
The market resolves to Zaurbek Sabanov if he is officially declared the winner of the fight against Adama Diop at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8. It resolves to Adama Diop if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but only official UFC information counts, not news reports or social media.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Zaurbek Sabanov 0%
- Adama Diop 100%
View this market on Polymarket →