Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?
The market favoured Yes at 57% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$840k
Total volume$830k
Liquidity$394k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 57% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 56% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 56% |
| 31 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 57% |
| 31 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 59% |
| 31 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 57% |
| 31 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 18:37 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Oct, 17:41 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 60% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Oct, 21:22 UTC | 58% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 60% |
What counts
Manchester City FC must win the match scheduled for October 31, 2026, within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on the official final result recognized by the governing body or event organizers, not on penalties or extra time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →