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Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

Resolved: No 37d ago

The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$16k
Total volume$85k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
0%50%100%0%26 Sept, 12:13 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
1 Oct, 05:20 UTC0%
1 Oct, 03:19 UTC0%
1 Oct, 02:43 UTC1%
1 Oct, 02:29 UTC3%
1 Oct, 01:41 UTC6%
1 Oct, 01:27 UTC6%
1 Oct, 00:58 UTC6%
1 Oct, 00:23 UTC6%
30 Sept, 23:47 UTC6%
30 Sept, 22:59 UTC5%
30 Sept, 22:29 UTC5%
30 Sept, 21:31 UTC5%
30 Sept, 19:09 UTC5%
30 Sept, 18:54 UTC5%
30 Sept, 18:14 UTC5%
30 Sept, 17:59 UTC5%
30 Sept, 12:16 UTC5%
30 Sept, 11:03 UTC4%
30 Sept, 10:36 UTC5%
30 Sept, 09:52 UTC5%
30 Sept, 09:25 UTC5%
30 Sept, 08:35 UTC4%
30 Sept, 08:13 UTC4%
30 Sept, 07:58 UTC5%
30 Sept, 07:22 UTC5%
30 Sept, 06:20 UTC5%
30 Sept, 05:31 UTC5%
30 Sept, 05:02 UTC5%
30 Sept, 04:55 UTC5%
30 Sept, 04:27 UTC5%
30 Sept, 03:42 UTC5%
30 Sept, 03:13 UTC5%
30 Sept, 02:59 UTC6%
30 Sept, 02:28 UTC8%
30 Sept, 01:52 UTC11%
30 Sept, 01:23 UTC14%
30 Sept, 00:40 UTC14%
30 Sept, 00:18 UTC14%
29 Sept, 23:54 UTC14%
29 Sept, 23:08 UTC14%
29 Sept, 22:45 UTC14%
29 Sept, 22:10 UTC14%
29 Sept, 21:32 UTC14%
29 Sept, 21:25 UTC14%
29 Sept, 20:49 UTC14%
29 Sept, 20:26 UTC14%
29 Sept, 19:25 UTC14%
29 Sept, 18:54 UTC14%
29 Sept, 18:05 UTC14%
29 Sept, 17:57 UTC14%
29 Sept, 17:25 UTC14%
29 Sept, 16:54 UTC13%
29 Sept, 16:23 UTC13%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC12%
29 Sept, 15:24 UTC12%
29 Sept, 14:36 UTC12%
29 Sept, 14:06 UTC11%
29 Sept, 13:58 UTC11%
29 Sept, 11:35 UTC11%
29 Sept, 10:52 UTC11%
29 Sept, 09:09 UTC11%
29 Sept, 08:27 UTC12%
29 Sept, 07:33 UTC12%
29 Sept, 07:26 UTC12%
29 Sept, 06:22 UTC11%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC11%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC11%
28 Sept, 18:54 UTC11%
28 Sept, 10:53 UTC11%
28 Sept, 09:35 UTC11%
28 Sept, 09:02 UTC11%
28 Sept, 08:55 UTC11%
28 Sept, 08:17 UTC12%
28 Sept, 07:51 UTC12%
28 Sept, 06:24 UTC11%
28 Sept, 05:28 UTC11%
28 Sept, 04:36 UTC10%
28 Sept, 03:26 UTC11%
28 Sept, 01:43 UTC11%
28 Sept, 01:19 UTC11%
28 Sept, 00:54 UTC11%
28 Sept, 00:22 UTC11%
27 Sept, 23:59 UTC11%
27 Sept, 23:01 UTC12%
27 Sept, 22:47 UTC11%
27 Sept, 22:24 UTC11%
27 Sept, 21:57 UTC11%
27 Sept, 21:29 UTC11%
27 Sept, 20:50 UTC12%
27 Sept, 20:29 UTC12%
27 Sept, 19:59 UTC12%
27 Sept, 19:27 UTC12%
27 Sept, 18:27 UTC11%
27 Sept, 17:13 UTC11%
27 Sept, 16:52 UTC11%
27 Sept, 16:16 UTC11%
27 Sept, 15:38 UTC11%
27 Sept, 15:10 UTC10%
27 Sept, 14:45 UTC11%
27 Sept, 14:24 UTC11%
27 Sept, 13:55 UTC10%
27 Sept, 13:15 UTC11%
27 Sept, 12:55 UTC11%
27 Sept, 12:21 UTC10%
27 Sept, 11:47 UTC11%
27 Sept, 11:06 UTC10%
27 Sept, 10:51 UTC10%
27 Sept, 10:15 UTC10%
27 Sept, 09:57 UTC10%
27 Sept, 09:16 UTC11%
27 Sept, 08:42 UTC11%
27 Sept, 08:29 UTC11%
27 Sept, 07:55 UTC11%
27 Sept, 07:27 UTC11%
27 Sept, 06:54 UTC11%
27 Sept, 06:10 UTC11%
27 Sept, 05:57 UTC12%
27 Sept, 05:23 UTC11%
27 Sept, 04:59 UTC12%
27 Sept, 04:18 UTC12%
27 Sept, 03:53 UTC11%
27 Sept, 03:26 UTC11%
27 Sept, 02:58 UTC11%
27 Sept, 01:48 UTC11%
27 Sept, 01:04 UTC12%
27 Sept, 00:57 UTC11%
26 Sept, 23:42 UTC11%
26 Sept, 23:25 UTC11%
26 Sept, 22:14 UTC11%
26 Sept, 21:58 UTC12%
26 Sept, 21:24 UTC12%
26 Sept, 20:44 UTC11%
26 Sept, 20:12 UTC11%
26 Sept, 19:56 UTC11%
26 Sept, 19:07 UTC10%
26 Sept, 18:59 UTC11%
26 Sept, 18:26 UTC11%
26 Sept, 17:23 UTC12%
26 Sept, 16:48 UTC12%
26 Sept, 14:01 UTC12%
26 Sept, 13:50 UTC12%
26 Sept, 12:37 UTC12%
26 Sept, 12:13 UTC12%

What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Red Sox are eliminated before securing that title. Readers often mistake the end of the regular season for the deadline, but the market depends on the playoff series result, not the regular-season standings.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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