2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Implied probability 0%−5
24-hour volume$4.3M
Total volume$25.6M
Liquidity$970k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Republicans control both the Senate and the House after the 2026 midterm elections, and No otherwise. Control is determined by which party holds a majority of voting seats in each chamber, or defaults to the Vice President’s affiliation for the Senate or the Speaker’s affiliation for the House if no majority exists.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%