Portugal to score first vs. Norway?
The market favoured No at 53% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 23:01 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 12:47 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 45% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 46% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Portugal" if Portugal scores before Norway during regular time and stoppage. It resolves to "Norway" if Norway scores first in that same period. Readers often mistake extra time or penalty shoot-outs for valid scoring windows, but only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →