Will Sale Sharks win?
The market favoured No at 75% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$0
Resolved11 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 25% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sale Sharks wins the match scheduled for October 4, 2026, based on the score after 80 minutes of regular play. It resolves to No if they lose, draw, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the final result of a postponed or delayed game as the resolution trigger, but the market only counts the outcome after full regular time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →