Spread: Fresno State (-7.5)
The market favoured San Diego State at 53% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$37k
Total volume$37k
Liquidity$87k
Resolved18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 44% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 46% |
| 16 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 49% |
What counts
Fresno State wins if they beat San Diego State by eight points or more. Otherwise, San Diego State wins. The deadline is when the game ends, not when it starts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Fresno State 0%
- San Diego State 100%
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