Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$61k
Total volume$19.6M
Liquidity$1.0M
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Michelle Obama wins the 2028 US Presidential Election and No otherwise. The market resolves when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. Readers often mistake the deadline as the election day instead of the inauguration date on January 20, 2029.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%