Spread: Packers (-4.5)
The market favoured Packers at 50% a day out, but Falcons won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2.8M
Total volume$2.8M
Liquidity$812k
Resolved25 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Sept, 16:47 UTC | 53% |
| 24 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Sept, 15:52 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Sept, 05:54 UTC | 51% |
| 23 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 53% |
What counts
The Packers outcome requires them to win by five points or more. The Falcons outcome applies if they win, tie, or if the Packers win by four points or fewer. Readers often mistake the point spread for a simple winner-take-all bet rather than a margin of victory.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Packers 0%
- Falcons 100%
View this market on Polymarket →