Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?
Implied probability 2%−1
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 16:42 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Sept, 07:44 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 04:54 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 03:22 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 01:53 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 00:28 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 22:28 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 21:53 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 21:26 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 20:28 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Sept, 18:15 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Sept, 17:54 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Taylor Swift makes a credible pregnancy announcement between now and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Credible announcements come from her or her representatives, though strong media consensus may count. Jokes or unclear hints do not qualify as valid announcements.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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