Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$22k
Resolved30 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 15:02 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 13:15 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 40% |
| 28 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 40% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 39% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 16% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Together receives between 7% and 9% of the total valid votes cast in the Israeli Knesset elections. The No outcome applies if the party wins less than 7% or more than 9% of those votes. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline for the election date, but the market actually waits until October 31, 2027, to confirm the final results.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →