Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
Implied probability 18%
24-hour volume$18k
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves14 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 18% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Casper Ruud if he wins the match, and to Carlos Alcaraz if he wins. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or lacks a winner by November 21, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, it resolves to a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake a walkover for a decisive result, but this scenario also triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Casper Ruud 18%
- Carlos Alcaraz 83%
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