Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Implied probability 2%−22
24-hour volume$135k
Total volume$746k
Liquidity$84k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican wins the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election and No otherwise. The winner is determined by the Associated Press, Fox News, or NBC calling the race for the same candidate; if they do not agree, official certification decides the outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%