NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
Implied probability 0%
Total volume$324k
Liquidity$43k
Resolves23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 23:06 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Oct, 10:15 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 13:36 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Stephen Curry is not on the Golden State Warriors roster before October 22, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he remains on the official roster at that deadline, regardless of his playing status. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the contract expiration date or assume retirement counts as leaving without a formal roster change.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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