Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 72% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$300k
Total volume$301k
Liquidity$423k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 19:02 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 15:53 UTC | 28% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 28% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The official final result from the governing body determines the outcome, with secondary data sources used only if that information is not available within two hours. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution or assume postponed games automatically trigger the cancellation rule.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →