Will Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
The market favoured Yes at 81% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$979
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$0
Resolved15 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 91% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 82% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 81% |
| 7 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 81% |
| 7 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 81% |
| 7 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 83% |
| 7 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 82% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 83% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 84% |
| 7 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 85% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 84% |
| 6 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 61% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Los Angeles Dodgers reach the National League Championship Series in the 2026 playoffs. It resolves to No if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs are cancelled or delayed past October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the current series score for the final outcome, but only the official MLB confirmation of NLCS qualification matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →