Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in South Africa by December 31, 2027?
Implied probability 0%
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on where the first official, in-person diplomatic session between Russia and Ukraine begins by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. A 'Yes' outcome requires this meeting to take place specifically in South Africa, while a 'No' covers all other locations or if no such meeting occurs by the deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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