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Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?

Implied probability 49%
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves19 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
0%50%100%49%22 Sept, 17:38 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now49%
23 Sept, 17:39 UTC49%
22 Sept, 17:38 UTC44%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” wins Music Video of the Year at the 60th Annual CMA Awards on November 18, 2026. It resolves to No if any other video wins or if the song is not officially nominated when nominees are announced. Readers often mistake the Billboard Hot 100 record mentioned in the linked story for eligibility criteria, but only official CMA nominations and awards matter.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 49%
  • No 52%

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