Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$17k
Total volume$1.5M
Liquidity$263k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 09:04 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 03:34 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 22:45 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 20:01 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 18:47 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 17:33 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 16:31 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 15:16 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 11:14 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 09:51 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 08:27 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 09:35 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 05:11 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 19:13 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 09:40 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 08:12 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 4% |
What counts
The Yes outcome requires the Chicago Cubs to win the 2026 World Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Cubs are eliminated from contention before the final game. Readers often mistake the end of the regular season for the resolution deadline, but the market stays open until the World Series concludes.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →