Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?
Implied probability 100%+37
24-hour volume$128k
Total volume$145k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Pakistan's armed forces launch a qualifying air or surface-to-surface strike that directly hits Afghan territory before October 31, 2026. It resolves to No if no such strike occurs by the deadline or if the action involves proxies, ground incursions, or intercepted munitions.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%