Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
The market favoured Yes at 90% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 16 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 98% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 94% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 92% |
| 16 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 84% |
| 16 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 05:16 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 76% |
| 15 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 72% |
| 15 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 72% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 20:11 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 69% |
| 14 Oct, 00:07 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 69% |
| 13 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 69% |
| 13 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 69% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 70% |
| 13 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 67% |
| 12 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 63% |
| 12 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 52% |
| 12 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 55% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 50% |
| 12 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 52% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 52% |
| 12 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 18:16 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 13:02 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 08:01 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 05:43 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 53% |
| 12 Oct, 02:59 UTC | 51% |
| 12 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 46% |
| 12 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 37% |
| 12 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 35% |
| 12 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 37% |
| 12 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 40% |
| 11 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 40% |
| 11 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 40% |
| 11 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Oct, 20:41 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Oct, 02:06 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 41% |
| 9 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 40% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Brewers are eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake the linked Padres news for a resolution trigger, but only the final winner of the NLCS matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →