Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?
The market favoured No at 59% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$399k
Total volume$407k
Liquidity$314k
Resolved18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 12:41 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 38% |
| 18 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 07:42 UTC | 40% |
| 18 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 41% |
| 17 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 42% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Leeds United FC wins the match scheduled for October 18, 2026, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The No outcome applies if the match ends in a draw or loss, is canceled entirely with no make-up game, or if the market resolves due to lack of data.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →