Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$9k
Resolved1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 100% |
| 26 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 99% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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