Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$36
Total volume$568k
Liquidity$14k
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 05:05 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 23:39 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 20:31 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 96% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 16:26 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 23:15 UTC | 96% |
| 29 Sept, 22:45 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Sept, 22:10 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 11:21 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 10:23 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 08:27 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 92% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 13:20 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Sept, 10:53 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Sept, 08:17 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 04:15 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 17:06 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 93% |
| 27 Sept, 12:21 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 11:06 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 10:51 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 10:22 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 09:16 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 91% |
| 27 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 91% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 22:14 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Sept, 20:28 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 93% |
| 26 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 96% |
| 26 Sept, 14:19 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 97% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Paramount completes an acquisition that transfers control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to "No" if no other entity acquires this specific control within the deadline or if only linear television assets are transferred.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%
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