Spread: Lions (-3.5)
Implied probability 54%+3
24-hour volume$88k
Total volume$139k
Liquidity$1.4M
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 54% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 54% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 53% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 51% |
| 23 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 49% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 49% |
| 22 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 46% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 45% |
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What counts
The Lions outcome occurs if they win by four points or more. The Packers outcome applies if they win or if the Lions win by three points or less. Readers often mistake the margin requirement, forgetting that a three-point victory for Detroit still counts as a Packers win.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Lions 54%
- Packers 47%
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