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Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

Implied probability 72%−8
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves15 Mar 2027

Why it moved: −5 points at 21:02 UTC, after Variety: Evolution Mallorca Prizes: ‘Ink,’ ‘Fatherland’ and ‘Club Kid’ Win Big at a Banner 15th Edition — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%50%100%72%30 Oct, 10:06 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now72%
4 Nov, 21:02 UTC72%
4 Nov, 20:52 UTC77%
4 Nov, 17:20 UTC77%
30 Oct, 18:03 UTC75%
30 Oct, 17:56 UTC76%
30 Oct, 17:20 UTC78%
30 Oct, 16:25 UTC78%
30 Oct, 15:13 UTC77%
30 Oct, 13:50 UTC78%
30 Oct, 12:52 UTC79%
30 Oct, 12:24 UTC79%
30 Oct, 10:06 UTC77%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the film receives an official nomination for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. The deadline for this outcome is January 21, 2027, when the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announces the nominees. Readers often mistake the ceremony date or rely on unofficial reports instead of the Academy's official announcement.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 72%
  • No 28%

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