Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$9
Total volume$90k
Liquidity$25k
Resolves31 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on China’s full-year 2026 GDP growth rate from the National Bureau of Statistics’ preliminary accounting report in January 2027. The outcome is Yes if the annual year-over-year growth falls between 6.0% and 7.0%, inclusive. Readers often mistake the initial release for the final number, but only the data from that first publication counts; any subsequent revisions are ignored.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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