Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
The market favoured Yes at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$25k
Total volume$232k
Liquidity$0
Resolved15 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 92% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 33% |
| 1 Nov, 00:56 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 00:28 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 12:11 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 20:08 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 18:44 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Oct, 21:00 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 43% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Oct, 17:26 UTC | 53% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 10:04 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 08:05 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 03:28 UTC | 67% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 71% |
| 29 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 70% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 19:40 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 15:56 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 14:36 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 09:51 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 08:34 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 71% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Golden State Valkyries are officially named the 2026 WNBA champions. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Valkyries are eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which is November 14, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, rather than the date of the final game.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →