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Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability 18%−2
24-hour volume$68k
Total volume$2.4M
Liquidity$108k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Delcy Rodríguez officially holds the position of Venezuela's head of state on December 31, 2026, at 12 PM ET. It resolves to No if another individual holds that role or if no one holds it. Readers often mistake a nomination or announcement for official status, but only confirmed, sworn-in leaders count.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 18%
  • No 83%

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