Pacers vs. Heat
The market favoured Heat at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$938k
Total volume$1.0M
Liquidity$507k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 30% |
| 29 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 21:14 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 19:08 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 35% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The Pacers outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NBA game on October 30 at 8:00 PM ET, while the Heat outcome resolves if they win. The result depends on the final score after any overtime periods. Readers often mistake the deadline for the start time rather than the completion of the game.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Pacers 0%
- Heat 100%
View this market on Polymarket →