Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
The market favoured Over at 50% a day out, but Under won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.5M
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$440k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 19:09 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 16:22 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 55% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 52% |
| 1 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 52% |
| 1 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Nov, 07:52 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 52% |
What counts
The Over outcome occurs if Liverpool and Arsenal score three or more goals combined during regular time plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their total is less than three goals. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result depends on extra time or penalties rather than just the 90 minutes of play.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 0%
- Under 100%
View this market on Polymarket →