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Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?

Implied probability 3%−4
24-hour volume$250
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
How the odds moved · Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
0%50%100%3%12 Oct, 16:00 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now3%
19 Oct, 00:04 UTC3%
18 Oct, 23:36 UTC3%
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13 Oct, 00:28 UTC24%
12 Oct, 23:14 UTC28%
12 Oct, 16:00 UTC21%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Kraken allows U.S. customers to buy at least one tokenized stock before any other listed platform does. This availability must occur between September 17, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake public announcements or invite-only programs for actual availability, but only confirmed purchases by U.S. customers count.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 3%
  • No 97%

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